Today, 1/19/11, I BTC 2 AMD Jan11 7.5 Covered Calls and STO 2 Jul11 8 Covered Calls for a net deposit of a whopping $56.95 cents in my taxable account. My basis for these AMD shares is now 15.97. This transaction represents a simple return of 1.75% and an annualized return of 3.23% on my prior basis.
I made these trades because I am currently underwater by a good amount and did not want it called away just yet. Being able to roll the strike up fifty cents at a net credit helped me to make the trades. I also liked that I could do it by only rolling out to July. The last time I rolled it out was way back in September of 2009.
S&P has a 12 month price target of 9.00 and a Hold rating but they have a poor track record predicting AMD price movement (correct 0% of the time in the past year). Market Edge Second Opinion has a price opinion to 7.34 that they developed back in November 2010 and have a Long rating on the stock with a fair track record predicting AMD price movement (correct 42% of the time). The Yahoo! Finance analysts have a 12 month price target of 8.43 with a recommendation of 3.0 (1.0 = Buy, 5.0 = Sell).
So, after all that, I will let AMD go just as soon as I can get something more than my basis for it. I probably should let it go now but hope springs eternal and as long as I can continue to sell options on it my return on each transaction will increase as my basis reduces. Also, I don’t need any more losses right now because I have enough from 2008 to last a few more years. How’s that for rationalization.